No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.36
- Potential payout
- $16.36
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.36
Polymarket Trader
Cherrylady
0x46a5acbc57a15c6d92ba7f93c31d6a5848f6bd6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.27
- Realized PnL
- $32.01
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.07
- Potential payout
- $13.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $11.96
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.37
- Potential payout
- $10.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
1,400+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.8
CYBERSHOKE Esports position
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
North Korea missile test by September 15?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?No 97.9% 8.17 shares
- Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?No 96.4% 10.37 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 92% 11.96 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 97.8% 16.36 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?No 99.5% 13.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 1?No 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?No 97.7% 22.52 shares
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageCYBERSHOKE Esports 91% 17.58 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16?Down 32% 1.47 shares
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No 10% 50 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.8% 52.52 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?No 98.8% 3.81 shares