No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
den299k
0x46b204acbbcad593f3f80cd1667f7245ca97df24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $308.72
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $396.2
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$100.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $82.81
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $229.69
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$17.19
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $142.97
- Potential payout
- $300.99
- Potential profit
- $158.02
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $42.97
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $269
- Potential profit
- $267.25
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$86.21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $55.3
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $84.7
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $115.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.88
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$74.8
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $79.49
- Potential profit
- $66.77
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$41.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.11
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.51
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $47.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.3
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.38
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.3
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.5
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.28
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.32
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.02
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33.2% 300.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 1,739.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 0.9% 555.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?No 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?No 1% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39.6% 156.57 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 43.2% 240 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 162.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 30% 170 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 68% 26.38 shares