Polymarket Trader

nonmonmymous

0x46b438221cea053fc6092af597da395aa5ba72e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $325.13
Realized PnL: $3.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.8K
Potential profit: $273.8K
User PnL: -$817.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.5K
Potential profit: $9.5K
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $224.59
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $7.94K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$161.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$475.73

No position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$155.65

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $100.54
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$93.59

Ugo Humbert position

Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$463.83

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$432

Nick Kyrgios position

Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999
Potential profit: $999
User PnL: -$69.93

Yes position

Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $828.71
Potential profit: $828.71
User PnL: -$98.4

No position

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796.34
Potential profit: $796.34
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796.34
Potential profit: $796.34
User PnL: -$0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $754.96
Potential profit: $754.96
User PnL: -$574.4

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.22
Potential profit: $750.22
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$74.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.41
Potential profit: $692.41
User PnL: -$474.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.67
Potential profit: $688.67
User PnL: -$487.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.48
Potential profit: $652.48
User PnL: -$453.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $622.82
Potential profit: $622.82
User PnL: -$460.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $556.88
Potential profit: $556.88
User PnL: -$362.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.43
Potential profit: $545.43
User PnL: -$388.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.1

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.94

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 54% 9 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 45.2% 89.34 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 60% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

No 62% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 4.9% 183.67 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 4.9% 61.22 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 20% 99.75 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 4.9% 500 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 18.4% 249 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 5% 270 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 3.8% 668 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 6.6% 649.86 shares