Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.75
Polymarket Trader
0x46b5...5fca
0x46b5a8f73e42574c0d69e50516f753384e925fca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $85.44
- Realized PnL
- -$19.63
- Win rate
- 36.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $21.63
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.5% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 89% 8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 4.3% 30 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 32% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 12 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 11% 19 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.4% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.6% 10 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 79% 5 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 21% 6 shares