Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$54.99
Polymarket Trader
0x46c8E549c39f43F0B3618E54449bbe16A8255894-1772019167325
0x46c8e549c39f43f0b3618e54449bbe16a8255894
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.25
- Realized PnL
- $2.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $736.38
- Potential profit
- $736.38
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $411.88
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.5
- Potential profit
- $227.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.33
- Potential profit
- $207.33
- User PnL
- -$42.54
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $151
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $46.19
- Potential payout
- $167.98
- Potential profit
- $121.78
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $29.21
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $128.68
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.73
- Potential profit
- $157.73
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $150.19
- Potential profit
- $128.41
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.14
- Potential profit
- $148.14
- User PnL
- -$79.97
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.19
- Potential profit
- $127.19
- User PnL
- -$124.17
Y
Yes position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $104.72
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- $151.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 15.3% 150.19 shares
- Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes 8.9% 112 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 19% 157.89 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes 29.8% 167.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Yes 11% 142.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?Yes 63.7% 263 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?Yes 6% 263 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 2.2% 227.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Yes 7% 142.86 shares