Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- User PnL
- -$201
Polymarket Trader
Franccoonn123
0x46c9e896ad01e8bcb3da667a25638e98585e7636
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $751.27
- Realized PnL
- $10.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$295
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $48.82
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$20.78
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$440
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$22.55
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $61.58
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $991.05
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $450.49
- Potential profit
- $450.26
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $329.51
- Potential payout
- $329.67
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $29.51
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.9%
- Current value
- $130.11
- Potential payout
- $290.11
- Potential profit
- $159.99
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- -$69.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.4%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $61.24
- Potential profit
- $41.43
- Multiplier
- 3.09x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $55.8
- Potential payout
- $57.26
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $52.44
- Potential payout
- $54.68
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $53.76
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $46.2
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736.45
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.73
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.03
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.73
No position
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.44
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.81
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.98
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.81
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.03
Yes position
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.93
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 0.1% 799.51 shares
- Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 0.2% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 12.1% 1,682.31 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 1,052.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 93.5% 105.26 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 31.7% 140.84 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.6% 1,743.55 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 68.9% 290.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes 9% 500 shares