Polymarket Trader

cegr

@jiushijian30916

0x46cf1b4153871da57d4434d4643b186722d042b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.13
Realized PnL: $34.14
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91
Potential profit: $6.91
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $6.15
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $5.62
User PnL: -$2.36

No position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$4

Bruins position

Bruins vs. Penguins

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$2.84

Canucks position

Stars vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: -$1.56

Blues position

Blues vs. Jets

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$2.1

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $4.15
User PnL: -$2.7

Heat position

Heat vs. Celtics

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52
Potential profit: $3.52
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $3.35
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $3.26
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8
Potential profit: $2.8
User PnL: -$1.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

New York Yankees position

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Avalanche position

Kraken vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Kings position

Nets vs. Kings

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Magic position

Raptors vs. Magic

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Senators position

Ducks vs. Senators

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Magic position

Mavericks vs. Magic

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

No 60% 3.35 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 50% 3.26 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 55.5% 3.19 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 42% 5.62 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

Toronto Blue Jays 47% 2.89 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 66% 3.24 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 65% 4.15 shares
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 59% 4.59 shares
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 53% 5.36 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

No 40% 2.8 shares
Kraken vs. Avalanche

Avalanche 64% 3.16 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Yes 71% 3.52 shares