Polymarket Trader

0x46D2b406b5ec3B2580352562A6B6434d4Eef8E2B-1773839439669

0x46d2b406b5ec3b2580352562a6b6434d4eef8e2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $234.32
Realized PnL: $30.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $126.21
Potential payout: $136.26
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $50.63
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $40.09
Potential profit: $22.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.56

Over position

France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $6.01
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Over position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Over 94% 127.66 shares
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes 96.3% 125.31 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Over 93% 2.15 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?

No 85% 1.36 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Over 93% 6.45 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Over 77% 25.97 shares
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 48% 6.25 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Switzerland 31.7% 3.15 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

No 99.9% 21.05 shares
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

No 99.9% 11.44 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

No 95% 21.05 shares