No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $313.82
- Potential payout
- $510.28
- Potential profit
- $196.46
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $13.82
Polymarket Trader
999pmoll
0x46ea68ebebd45b7645e8304f8b4e5899497ba98f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $568.65
- Realized PnL
- $876.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $174.12
- Potential payout
- $193.47
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $24.12
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $80.71
- Potential payout
- $163.05
- Potential profit
- $82.34
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.59
- Potential profit
- $80.59
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.61
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $43.75
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.88
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.85
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $29.76
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $26.91
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.91
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $17.76
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.58
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.26
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.88
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 25.2% 127.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 77.5% 193.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 54.35 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 43.48 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 65.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 79% 84.74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 59% 84.75 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 78.5% 316.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No 85% 20.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79.1% 316.2 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No 83.3% 218.75 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 74% 218.33 shares