Polymarket Trader

makanmakan

0x46f023d97ab70f5041c4a2517a58747c015bb93a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $799.66
Realized PnL: $331.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $147.51
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$94.89

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $149.49
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$105.22

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $138.8
Potential payout: $957.24
Potential profit: $818.44
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$93.71

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$52.08

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $78.4
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $411.6
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$223.47

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.37
Potential profit: $428.37
User PnL: -$94.01

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $296
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $111.15
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $18.85
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$16.91

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $90.88
Potential payout: $106.29
Potential profit: $15.41
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.53

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$81.51

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.44
Potential payout: $99.63
Potential profit: $83.19
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$43.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $78
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$25.1

No position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $45.15
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$22.24

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.28
Potential profit: $50.28
User PnL: -$41.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.39
Potential profit: $30.39
User PnL: -$23.78

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.78
Potential profit: $23.78
User PnL: -$16.41

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.37

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.78

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $16.75

Michael position

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.24

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 48 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 58.29 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

No 86% 130 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 21 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 69% 40 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 436.93 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 54% 65 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40% 16 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 16% 42.62 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 29.49 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 300 shares
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes 73% 13.66 shares