No position
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.13
Polymarket Trader
Tomalias
0x46f1bf6bec71bad258f95aa498a4df703a4122cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.78
- Realized PnL
- $262.49
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $11.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $8.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.08
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.73
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.44
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times October 25 - November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?No 97.3% 8.95 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?No 97.3% 11.61 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No 98.1% 11.21 shares
- Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No 95.5% 25 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No 92% 30 shares
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?Yes 13.3% 5.11 shares
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes 18.8% 5.12 shares
- Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No 99.8% 65.37 shares
- Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No 97.5% 55.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 66.9% 183.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 54.7% 183.02 shares