Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
jiyilo
@Buenotagay
0x46f4c3705f3236925873ee118d5645a76793a711
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.05
- Realized PnL
- $92.8
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $96.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.78
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 0.2% 100 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of July 6 2026?No 93.5% 300 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 2,388.5 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 179.69 shares
- Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 89.1% 193.69 shares
- Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 90.4% 77.81 shares
- Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?No 81% 20 shares
- Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?Yes 32% 24.92 shares
- Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Yes 25% 1.49 shares
- Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Yes 28% 2.28 shares