Polymarket Trader

josht17

@JoshTomkinson2

0x46fbc68c460f43be34bdc8523edf36d404872b75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $415
Realized PnL: $4.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will AGI Inc. not IPO before April 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$52.5

Minnesota Twins position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $215
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $785
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $15

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$620

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.99
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$598

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.5
Potential profit: $601.5
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Betclic Apogee Esports position

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$210

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.69
Potential profit: $381.69
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$24

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Will Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$180

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.78
Potential profit: $169.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.36
Potential profit: $111.36
User PnL: -$5.57

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$71

Phantom position

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$56

Down position

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $576.05

Yes position

Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.21

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.12

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418

Galions position

LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.5

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.6

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $152

No position

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.98

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.2

Yes position

Will Amiens SC vs. Clermont Foot 63 end in a draw?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.06

Iowa position

Iowa vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.9

Yes position

Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.03

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.7

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.75

Yes position

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.11

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.59

Yes position

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.24

Yes position

Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.8

9z position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.12

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.5

Burnley FC position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 3.5% 3,599.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 22% 1,200 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 78% 200 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 21% 6.28 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 400 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 19.3% 948.75 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 20% 451.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 49% 400 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 2,400 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.6% 400 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Yes 10% 224.72 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 36% 400 shares