No position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $30.37
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Polymarket Trader
aea48
0x46fc7b96742e713eb7fc0638bf188371fae199c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.28
- Realized PnL
- $214.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1AM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 10PM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Down position
Solana Up or Down on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 4.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.5% 3.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?No 99.9% 3.6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.6% 3.51 shares
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No 97.4% 31.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?Up 85% 2.78 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?Up 99.7% 2.37 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?Up 78% 2.37 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?Down 21.8% 8.48 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?Down 72% 8.49 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 89% 6.86 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 87% 6.86 shares