Polymarket Trader

AllyouneedisClaude

0x47084c8677adbbe81b42036d6095ccb190da9580

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $507.5
Realized PnL: $444.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $270.88
Potential payout: $322.47
Potential profit: $51.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$16.12

Yes position

Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $214.49
Potential payout: $243.74
Potential profit: $29.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$12.19

4ikibamboni position

Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.1
Potential profit: $95.1
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $19.84
Potential payout: $40.9
Potential profit: $21.06
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$16.98

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $11.29
User PnL: -$0.45

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.33
Potential profit: $7.33
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.81

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $64.37

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

No 7% 46.53 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 94% 1.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

Yes 88.4% 16 shares
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

No 3% 4.44 shares
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

No 3.6% 443.69 shares
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

No 4% 2.97 shares
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

No 4% 297 shares
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Yes 3% 3.57 shares
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Yes 3.2% 357.36 shares
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Yes 5% 2.55 shares
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Yes 5% 255.29 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?

No 5% 2.38 shares