Polymarket Trader

ChaseR

0x47090d99948c5a3cdf417573092a5b19ced2fb48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.14K
Realized PnL: $11.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $75.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $31.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $195.53
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: $151.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $110.25
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $66.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $163.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $119.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $136.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $92.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $102.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $58.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $144
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $99.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $93.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $49.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $127.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $83.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$10.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $120.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $76.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $123.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $79.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$18.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $293.63
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $249.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $46.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $30.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$13.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $55.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $56.72
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $77.21
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $38.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.7% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 95% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.3% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88.4% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88.2% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88.2% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88.2% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 88.2% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 97.8% 45 shares