Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $47.31
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $12.31
Polymarket Trader
0x4719...6487
0x471931a87ab99d16b2e2e70b74906b6c8b796487
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.2K
- Realized PnL
- $1.39K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $251.14
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $983.56
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$228.93
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $131.73
- Potential payout
- $680.76
- Potential profit
- $549.04
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $51.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $65.96
- Potential payout
- $586.35
- Potential profit
- $520.39
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$14.37
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $125.27
- Potential payout
- $434.22
- Potential profit
- $308.94
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- $44.94
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.7%
- Current value
- $274.71
- Potential payout
- $418.44
- Potential profit
- $143.74
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $75.71
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $276.94
- Potential payout
- $331.67
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $77.94
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $178.21
- Potential payout
- $297.01
- Potential profit
- $118.81
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.79
No position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $212.76
- Potential payout
- $257.9
- Potential profit
- $45.13
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$13.59
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $219.38
- Potential payout
- $239.76
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.38
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $208.56
- Potential payout
- $222.46
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $156.95
- Potential payout
- $209.27
- Potential profit
- $52.32
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.74
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $47.16
- Potential payout
- $168.42
- Potential profit
- $121.26
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $47.93
- Potential profit
- $47.74
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- $242.97
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $187.45
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.2
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $108.15
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.44
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.62
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.82
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.76
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.09
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $34.96
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $32.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $32.27
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $28.89
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.57
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.39
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.4% 781.25 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 1,296.3 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 680.76 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 586.35 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 434.22 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 59% 145.41 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No 92% 234.11 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88.1% 257.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 86% 268.91 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 69.7% 633.9 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 89% 260.15 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 50% 613.26 shares