Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $33.13
- Potential payout
- $53.01
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Polymarket Trader
FWFWE
0x47281aac6aef7d165e386f0000e85b02fb8c5e6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.12
- Realized PnL
- $3.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.08
- Potential payout
- $15.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $7.11
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Solana reach $200 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 53.01 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 13.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 15.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?No 99.9% 220.22 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 98.4% 10.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.8% 241.12 shares
- Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No 99.8% 10.02 shares