Polymarket Trader

Miracle007

0x4728d8377019661b41a2fdca0da55c1dd1e06426

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $239.63K
Realized PnL: $112.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $84.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $15.75K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $34.25K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $15.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $84.25K
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$34.25K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $12.73K
Potential payout: $34.87K
Potential profit: $22.14K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $18.42K
Potential payout: $33.8K
Potential profit: $15.38K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$150.23

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.98K
Potential profit: $31.98K
User PnL: -$1.19K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.27K
Potential profit: $22.27K
User PnL: -$690.36

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $18.13K
Potential payout: $22.25K
Potential profit: $4.12K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $776.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $16.8K
Potential payout: $21.4K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$834.95

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $16.09K
Potential payout: $16.71K
Potential profit: $618.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $306.49

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $16.51K
User PnL: -$7.52K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.77K
Potential payout: $15.83K
Potential profit: $55.39
User PnL: $1.62K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.45K
Potential profit: $13.45K
User PnL: -$8.44K

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98K
Potential profit: $11.98K
User PnL: -$25.88

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.93K
Potential profit: $11.93K
User PnL: -$49.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$8.46K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.6K
User PnL: -$7.84K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $5.7K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $9.71K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $290
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $9.47K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $9.37K
User PnL: -$3K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $9.26K
User PnL: -$4.87K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.88K
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $8.46K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.41K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" during his North Carolina speech?

Ends Sep 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54K

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "black" 3 or more times during Oprah livestream?

Ends Sep 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

No position

Will Trump say "Reserve" during the X space?

Ends Sep 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Cubs position

Brewers vs. Cubs

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 88% 4,655.84 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 97% 4,334.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 10,000 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 81% 1,000.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 41% 217 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 96.5% 473.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99% 2,983.24 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 91% 3,595.65 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 800 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 80% 3,259.02 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 133.12 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 71% 4,935.66 shares