Polymarket Trader

commanderkim

0x472977845c1861bd08e44f338bd33220a1a80b39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $335.55
Realized PnL: $191.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $271.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $161.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $88.75
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $92.41

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $45.7
Potential payout: $190.42
Potential profit: $144.72
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$17.14

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.4
Potential profit: $82.4
User PnL: -$11.54

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $46.23
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $8.77
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.25

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 73.9%
Current value: $38.97
Potential payout: $52.75
Potential profit: $13.78
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$40.85

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$38.64

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.9%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $20.18
Potential profit: $5.27
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$6.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.15
Potential profit: $11.15
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.34

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.31

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $11.93

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

KT Rolster Challengers position

LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Casemiro: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74% 52.75 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84.5% 55 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 75% 20.18 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 68.8% 65 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 15% 300 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

53.5% 27.56 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

No 38% 10 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 51% 4.96 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

No 90% 20 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

No 65% 20 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 68% 12 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 52% 100 shares