Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $100.45
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
perseo
0x47326971008e73c6c5e379563385b2c283482f88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.69K
- Realized PnL
- $9.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $320.55
- Potential payout
- $986.32
- Potential profit
- $665.77
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $20.8
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $741
- Potential profit
- $741
- User PnL
- -$600.21
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $17.39
- Potential payout
- $740
- Potential profit
- $722.61
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$32.68
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $80.96
- Potential payout
- $704
- Potential profit
- $623.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$89.14
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $632.45
- Potential payout
- $695
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $132.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.95
- Potential profit
- $689.95
- User PnL
- -$296.68
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $88.7
- Potential payout
- $657
- Potential profit
- $568.31
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$111.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$355.9
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $608.59
- Potential profit
- $608.59
- User PnL
- -$298.96
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $87.73
- Potential payout
- $566
- Potential profit
- $478.27
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$112.53
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $38.07
- Potential payout
- $559.81
- Potential profit
- $521.74
- Multiplier
- 14.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $455
- User PnL
- -$100.1
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $151.07
- Potential payout
- $438
- Potential profit
- $286.93
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$215.94
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $110.93
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $324.08
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$25.37
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $48.3
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $371.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $47.25
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $372.75
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $327.44
- Potential payout
- $396.9
- Potential profit
- $69.46
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $17.43
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $326.89
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $18.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $26.74
Under position
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $345
- User PnL
- -$101.25
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $307.7
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $32.3
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $330
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$46.95
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$100.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
Topuria position
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.15
Yes position
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.43
No position
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.46
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.21
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.88
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
Will Elon apologize to Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.45
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.25
Yes position
Trump x Elon talk by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.08
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.48
No position
US stagflation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.02
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.81
Yes position
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.9
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.1
Yes position
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.84
Yes position
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia 43% 233 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 22% 455 shares
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder 30% 270 shares
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder 27% 75 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder 49.9% 200 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 741 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 30.9% 446 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 30% 540.32 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 57.9% 428.89 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 57% 87.2 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 186 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 5.5% 509.94 shares