No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.64
- Potential payout
- $20.17
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Polymarket Trader
Lu2..
0x473a7df82bb76c61b8514b6cb62f05efbd1d5203
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.23
- Realized PnL
- $73.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$12.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $15.09
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $14.2
- Potential payout
- $15.31
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $13.29
- Potential payout
- $13.59
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?No 92% 13.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?No 74.4% 20.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 8?No 95% 15.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?No 98% 15.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 6?No 96% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?No 87% 17.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?No 95% 15.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?No 93% 16.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?No 86.3% 61.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?No 80.7% 61.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?No 91.5% 50.27 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?No 92% 46.72 shares