Polymarket Trader

22nnaru

0x473e811cae9c068182011946e1670d7fb99dcfe2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.25K
Realized PnL: $8.6K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.81K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$112.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $762.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.24K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $462.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $261.36
Potential payout: $22.73K
Potential profit: $22.47K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$238.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.75K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.09K
Potential profit: $18.09K
User PnL: -$3.2K

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $99.15
Potential payout: $18.03K
Potential profit: $17.93K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$63.08

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.99K
Potential profit: $15.99K
User PnL: -$339.97

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $589.81
Potential payout: $12.96K
Potential profit: $12.37K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$110.17

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $718.75
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $11.78K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $218.75

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $363.46
Potential payout: $11.54K
Potential profit: $11.18K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $63.47

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$1.3K

No position

Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$2.38K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$540.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $198.21
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.37K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$101.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $528.49
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $228.49

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $429.69
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$70.31

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $584.88
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $84.88

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $276.82
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$23.18

No position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$646.47

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$552.94

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$154

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $761.22

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.96

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.32

Yes position

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.78

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.43

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.95

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.89

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.16

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.2

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.99

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.05

Up position

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.6

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Colts

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.95

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 41,666.66 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 58,684 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 21,428.57 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 12,500 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 41,666.67 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 22,727.27 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 18,026.67 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 21,428.57 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 3,571.43 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 3,488.37 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 3,125 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 3,086.42 shares