Polymarket Trader

Kylling

0x47423edacfed3f64131f850f94bb6837dd1cafe1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.25
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$42

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$229.2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$168

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$162

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.4
Potential profit: $116.4
User PnL: -$4.46

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$55

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

No position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $69.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$57.15

Yes position

Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.66
Potential profit: $64.66
User PnL: -$12.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.62

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.74

Yes position

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.46

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.99

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.94

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.73

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.59

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.43

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will Tesla say "China" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 80% 210 shares
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?

No 81% 200 shares
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Yes 21.1% 25.6 shares
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Yes 3% 400 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Yes 82% 30.9 shares
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Yes 18% 29.06 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Yes 80% 60 shares
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 86% 90 shares
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?

Yes 37% 5 shares
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?

Yes 20% 135.7 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

No 88% 28.98 shares
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?

Yes 40% 290 shares