Polymarket Trader

vgcj

0x47436678b78b7e1bb9d19569e345224dc8c10f06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.72
Realized PnL: $16.53
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $14.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $700?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$4

Lakers position

Suns vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $8.96
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum above $4600 on August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,800 on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Lakers position

Pelicans vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Madani first lead in the 1st round?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Trump approval >40% on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

No 6.7% 14.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 50% 4 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

No 42% 9.52 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?

No 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Up 60% 1.62 shares
Suns vs. Lakers

Lakers 67% 8.96 shares
Pelicans vs. Lakers

Lakers 98.9% 26.81 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 98.3% 12.21 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 22?

No 94% 5.32 shares