No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $55.6
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Polymarket Trader
0x474a64662C5bEE54f268116F98226432dA406749-1762114174832
0x474a64662c5bee54f268116f98226432da406749
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.56
- Realized PnL
- -$57.86
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $42.33
- Potential profit
- $38.52
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $15.49
- Potential payout
- $31.61
- Potential profit
- $16.12
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $21.98
- Multiplier
- 5.24x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.96
- Potential profit
- $12.96
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Paraguay position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$6.73
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$22.54
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$35.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3.5% 57.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 95.2% 3.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 96.9% 3.05 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay 38% 5.26 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 27% 12.96 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 68% 15.9 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 43% 2.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 15.7 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 62.1% 4.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19.1% 15.71 shares