Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $759.12
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$118.46
Polymarket Trader
leobmw
0x474d9474e1beec2c3e1b5deb7e2cc6cc1b4812ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $917.62
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$203
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.5
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.86
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.85
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.61
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Pakistan position
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?Up 31% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 18% 4,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 12,179.62 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 12% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 17% 100 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 58% 100 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 12.8% 102.22 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 14.7% 629.29 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.3% 400 shares