Polymarket Trader

0x4760E98e3E20EA6B6fe720BfE21Fd7F8972733f4-1768855347653

0x4760e98e3e20ea6b6fe720bfe21fd7f8972733f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $198.38
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $494.98
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $452.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $67
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $133
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $196.19
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$14

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.43
Potential profit: $121.43
User PnL: -$50.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.5
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$11.5

No position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$11.45

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.4%
Current value: $27.35
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $72.64
Multiplier: 3.66x
User PnL: $19.35

Yes position

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.96
Potential profit: $99.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Marcus Thuram: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.39
Potential profit: $82.39
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $72.2
Potential profit: $63.54
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.93
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $48.22
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$10.73

No position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $49.62
Potential profit: $49.32
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.5
Potential profit: $47.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$16.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.02

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.81

Over position

Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.08

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.83

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.89

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $35.2

No position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.74

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.8

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.17

Over position

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.18

Over position

SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Over position

Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

Over position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.21

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.02

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

51.8% 68.44 shares
Will Solana reach $100 in July?

No 76% 49 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

56.7% 17.41 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

28.6% 34.21 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

33.3% 14.72 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

No 95% 45 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

47% 62.83 shares
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?

No 88% 30 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

9% 54 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

No 80% 30 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 85% 204.91 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 AND Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

61.8% 79.98 shares