Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x4776...7f65
0x47762f3aca49d1998ee4ad38db54cc6f24937f65
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $165.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $154.96
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Cavaliers position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $530.99
- Potential profit
- $520.64
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.55
- Potential profit
- $442.55
- User PnL
- -$48.68
Yes position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.72
- Potential profit
- $409.72
- User PnL
- -$300
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.68
- Potential profit
- $220.68
- User PnL
- -$20
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.32
- Potential profit
- $18.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.93
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.29
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.39
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.67
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.64
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.57
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.21
No position
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.25
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$319.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 7.6% 655.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 1.9% 530.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 6.6% 1,515.16 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 9% 12 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 11% 454.55 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 16% 250 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 16% 238.09 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 26% 732.71 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 70% 571.43 shares