Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $26.61K
- Potential profit
- $24.04K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Polymarket Trader
TradeDeficitArchitect
0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.08K
- Realized PnL
- $162.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $20.99K
- Potential profit
- $19.89K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $715.65
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $194
- Potential payout
- $20.42K
- Potential profit
- $20.23K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.3K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$451.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $297.03
- Potential payout
- $19.16K
- Potential profit
- $18.87K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$306.47
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $14.4K
- Potential payout
- $14.51K
- Potential profit
- $108.85
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $325.71
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $14.15K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $65.14
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $10.91K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.41K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $10.91K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.76K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.15K
- Potential payout
- $8.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$247.86
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $7.96K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- $466.03
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $860.01
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $7.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$943.86
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- -$319.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.23K
- Potential payout
- $7.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$759.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.36K
- Potential payout
- $7.02K
- Potential profit
- $667.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.81K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$441.49
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$562.71
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$485.02
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $4.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $502.36
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$66.96
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$990.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.68K
No position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05K
No position
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.58K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46K
Yes position
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45K
No position
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
No position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trans" during Wisconsin speech October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
No position
Will Trump say "tax" 15 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
Will Wesley So win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 80% 1,766.82 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 32% 127.03 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 36.7% 67.37 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 35% 66.32 shares
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No 59.8% 377.77 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 76.9% 582.03 shares
- First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?Yes 3.8% 112.1 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 75% 40 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 72.8% 302.88 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 93.4% 320 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 78% 100 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 43.7% 275.02 shares