marketmonkey88

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$100.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$74.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.93
Potential profit: $877.93
User PnL: -$74.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.55
Potential profit: $826.55
User PnL: -$97.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.33
Potential profit: $781.33
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.63
Potential profit: $722.63
User PnL: -$89.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587.89
Potential profit: $587.89
User PnL: -$88.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.13
Potential profit: $463.13
User PnL: -$50.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.15
Potential profit: $401.15
User PnL: -$118.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.01
Potential profit: $269.01
User PnL: -$111.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.5
Potential profit: $265.5
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.31
Potential profit: $220.31
User PnL: -$74.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.16
Potential profit: $218.16
User PnL: -$59.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.95
Potential profit: $196.95
User PnL: -$59.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.19
Potential profit: $181.19
User PnL: -$87.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.43
Potential profit: $93.43
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $76.77
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $34.39
Potential profit: $31.47
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $624.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 11?