LegendaryBets

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $423.42
Potential profit: $420.67
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $419.37
Potential profit: $419.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $382.51
Potential profit: $381.17
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $44.47
Potential payout: $305.66
Potential profit: $261.19
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $39.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $254.13
Potential profit: $252.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $250.21
Potential profit: $242.45
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $243.4
Potential profit: $234.03
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $229.6
Potential profit: $221.68
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $190.4
Potential profit: $184.98
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $189.7
Potential profit: $177.18
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $155.08
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $160.64
Potential profit: $152.69
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $159.9
Potential profit: $157.42
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $157.18
Potential profit: $140.75
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $18.08
Potential payout: $133.92
Potential profit: $115.84
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $130.36
Potential profit: $126.38
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $12.63
Potential payout: $128.19
Potential profit: $115.56
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $114.23
Potential profit: $111.14
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $114.22
Potential profit: $111.42
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $103.56
Potential profit: $95.9
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $100.74
Potential profit: $97.57
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.15
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $91.34
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $92.46
Potential profit: $79.1
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $85.21
Potential profit: $79.37
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $74.58
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $83.32
Potential profit: $82.82
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $80.85
Potential profit: $78.02
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $80.18
Potential profit: $74.13
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $74.98
Potential profit: $72.81
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $74.4
Potential profit: $71.35
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $73.93
Potential profit: $72.45
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $73.7
Potential profit: $71.12
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $73.65
Potential profit: $71.15
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $73.19
Potential profit: $68.07
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $72.62
Potential profit: $72.22
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$14.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $71.52
Potential profit: $66.87
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $53.92
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $67.49
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.36
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $56.06
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $10.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.93
Potential profit: $69.93
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $66.13
Potential profit: $58.53
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $59.54
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $64.09
Potential profit: $56.24
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $63.56
Potential profit: $58.38
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.44
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $55.94
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $58.44
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $62.49
Potential profit: $57.18
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $61.72
Potential profit: $57.43
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.41

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $339.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.82

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.26

Yes position

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.76

Under position

Spezia Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.53

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.12

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.61

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.92

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET