Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $37.39
- Potential payout
- $37.47
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $21.28
Polymarket Trader
adrian58
0x478f4861ad1dbd60cc1729bbdbcadc1a032fdbb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.39
- Realized PnL
- $138.73
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.17
Magic position
Trail Blazers vs. Magic
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.23
Knicks position
Timberwolves vs. Knicks
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?Yes 43% 37.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?Yes 36.8% 17.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 17?No 76% 15.5 shares
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsLas Vegas Aces 59% 19.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?No 68% 38.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11?Yes 42% 6.93 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?Up 32% 34.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?Yes 51.7% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?Yes 37.4% 18.89 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?Yes 71% 26.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?No 63% 22.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 3?No 63.2% 46.79 shares