Polymarket Trader

xiaolukejizongcai

0x4792cca5cd78e655e8b4b321c76d2d237cd9e767

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $603.16
Realized PnL: $39.78
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $497.27
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $25.29

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.86
Potential profit: $188.86
User PnL: -$46.84

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.95
Potential profit: $129.95
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $9.22
Potential payout: $83.82
Potential profit: $74.6
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $53.01
Potential payout: $65.36
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $43.01

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $36.34
Potential payout: $60.07
Potential profit: $23.73
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $26.34

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.31
Potential profit: $55.31
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $48.92
Potential profit: $42.31
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$23.4

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.31
Potential profit: $42.31
User PnL: -$21.36

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $32.84
Potential profit: $32.12
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.37
User PnL: -$0.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 971.36 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 714.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 13% 104.31 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 35.3% 38.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 42% 76.86 shares
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 16.6% 60.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 2.4% 39.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 13% 7.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up 99% 2.64 shares
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Yes 49.8% 23.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up 36% 2.65 shares