Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.5
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Polymarket Trader
hmpws
0x4797fb7e6a4b7381f5699c68ffe1fbc3b0ed3633
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.5
- Realized PnL
- $18.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3.8% 25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.6% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.8% 53.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.6% 53.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.6% 49 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 98.7% 49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 98.5% 49.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 91% 49.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 70% 63.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 75% 63.98 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 98.4% 42.98 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 88.5% 5.65 shares