Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $452.01
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- -$61.62
Polymarket Trader
Kawashere
0x47a0b312f3aa8d09181e1fd3789b098a91bbc26f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $458.73
- Realized PnL
- $38.74
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $112.32
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$18.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Up position
XRP Up or Down on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Up position
Solana Up or Down on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.6% 1,893.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp 57% 8.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6PM ETDown 82% 6.1 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 21% 119.05 shares
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 39.6% 12.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3AM ETUp 10% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3AM ETUp 30% 3.33 shares
- Solana Up or Down on January 14?Up 74% 6.76 shares
- XRP Up or Down on January 14?Up 87% 28.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?Up 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 14.9% 67.11 shares