Polymarket Trader

gugu122

0x47bd3134c7df466b4e67bb5e1ff970237414e755

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.31
Realized PnL: $50.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.76
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Miami" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.4

No position

Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 47.8%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.45
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: -$9.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will Solana dip to $130 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Pounce" during UFC 250?

Yes 0.7% 20 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 98.3% 19.99 shares
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Yes 1% 40 shares
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Yes 0.8% 20 shares
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 94% 4.03 shares
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No 97.4% 19.38 shares
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

No 96% 20 shares
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

No 98.3% 20 shares
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 96.6% 50 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

No 99.5% 20.1 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 91% 21.98 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 93% 15.77 shares