Polymarket Trader

EVPRESET

0x47c1afba00d6ca63941d47bb68d0886eefa997ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.37K
Realized PnL: $66.48
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $98.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $901.5
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $945.5
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $64.44
Potential payout: $347.4
Potential profit: $282.96
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $245.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $54.45
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $163.56
Potential payout: $235.37
Potential profit: $71.81
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$24.74

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $69.39
Potential payout: $183.81
Potential profit: $114.42
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $18.87
Potential payout: $171.52
Potential profit: $152.65
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$22.3

Yes position

Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $168.8
Potential profit: $167.62
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$78.15

Yes position

Will Ryan Lin be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $141.54
Potential profit: $139.56
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$26.33

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $131.18
Potential profit: $92.48
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$25.58

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $50.38
Potential payout: $125.96
Potential profit: $75.58
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $83.31
Potential payout: $121.62
Potential profit: $38.31
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $106.08
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.3%
Current value: $80.2
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verticality" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $95.04
Potential profit: $86.01
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.63

Yes position

Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $41.88
Potential payout: $81.33
Potential profit: $39.45
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$5.29

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $79.88
Potential profit: $29.16
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the announcers say "Historic" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $36.68
Potential payout: $78.05
Potential profit: $41.37
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$13.27

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $46.58
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $22.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $17.19
Potential payout: $60.33
Potential profit: $43.14
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $17.29
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $37.61
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $28.58
Potential payout: $48.04
Potential profit: $19.46
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$11.77

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $22.92
Potential payout: $44.51
Potential profit: $21.59
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $20.29
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$3.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $12

Under position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Ecuador position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Down 99% 45 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 99% 22 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 99% 30.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 99% 151.52 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 99% 34.09 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 76.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 90.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 99% 60.61 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 99% 34.09 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 99% 54.55 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 99% 27 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Up 99% 27 shares