trevxyz

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $322
User PnL: -$120.02

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $177.65
Potential payout: $211.49
Potential profit: $33.84
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $7.27

Marko Topo position

Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$76.5

Ecuador position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $136
User PnL: -$50.32

Côte dIvoire position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$50.16

Serena Williams position

Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$50.6

Under position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.71
Potential profit: $104.71
User PnL: -$50.86

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $85.99
Potential payout: $103.6
Potential profit: $17.61
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $103.53
Potential profit: $101.82
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $98.37
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.58

No position

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $88.87
Potential payout: $102.74
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $95.6
Potential payout: $102.24
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.51

Under position

Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.29
Potential payout: $98.41
Potential profit: $85.13
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.44

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $36.08
Potential payout: $37.9
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jodar position

Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Gill (+2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.7

Over position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.58

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.08

Paul position

Set Handicap: Paul (-2.5) vs Kwon (+2.5)

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.02

Gabriel Diallo position

Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.02

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 Corners

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.65

Over position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.78

Over position

Rublev vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 40.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.53

Bia Mesquita position

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.1

Fritz position

Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Lajovic (+2.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $33.86

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Under position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $14.25

No position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.32

Over position

France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$1.89

Over 3.5 position

Mattia Bellucci vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

Under position

Peter Lambert: Strikeouts O/U 3.5