No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$85.47
Polymarket Trader
raff-
0x47ea6bda9b1a048aa921af62ff5433844c6b1193
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $667.58
- Realized PnL
- $13.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $362.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $102.5
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417.39
- Potential profit
- $417.39
- User PnL
- -$17.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $238.23
- Potential payout
- $400.39
- Potential profit
- $162.16
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $24.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $62.71
- Potential payout
- $66.36
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $22.96
No position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $25.28
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 4.6% 217.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 13.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51.5% 194.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 6.06 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 54% 18.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 57% 52.63 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 29.41 shares