No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $120.94
- Potential payout
- $620.22
- Potential profit
- $499.28
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $27.91
Polymarket Trader
0x47fb...5db4
0x47fbf3651624b127e743b86368a4b8c1138b5db4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $728.17
- Realized PnL
- -$202.92
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $116.65
- Potential payout
- $598.2
- Potential profit
- $481.55
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $384.12
- Potential payout
- $469.87
- Potential profit
- $85.75
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $224.83
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $95.64
- Potential payout
- $458.73
- Potential profit
- $363.08
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$22.71
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $105.25
- Potential profit
- $95.2
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.75
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.7% 510.82 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 33.9% 980.69 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 10% 777.53 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 39% 1,272.46 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 43% 79.97 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 15% 784.59 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 8.38 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.8% 1,126.03 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.8% 1,126.03 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.9% 100.86 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.8% 1,021.05 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.8% 550.08 shares