Polymarket Trader

fh-23

0x47fe4bbc27c09e87405bc8568484df1729a010ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.7
Realized PnL: -$5.72
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $9.52
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $9.2
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.37

Over position

Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09
Potential profit: $4.09
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 84% 7 shares
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Over 48% 5 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 84% 10 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 8 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.9% 6.11 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 10 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 10.11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 3.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?

No 85% 7.06 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 87% 9.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 11?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?

No 73.3% 4.09 shares