896330449

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.57
Potential profit: $486.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $260.51
Potential profit: $260.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $84.48
Potential profit: $84.35
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.91
Potential profit: $67.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.27
Potential profit: $64.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.89
Potential profit: $56.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $50.48
Potential profit: $46.18
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.3
Potential profit: $34.3
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $20.43
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.22
Potential profit: $15.22
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 87°F or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.03
Potential profit: $13.03
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $10.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Paraguay position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?