Polymarket Trader

MariaTMadrid

@MariaTMadrid

0x480afc8004b17518996f7d5b67d3eb3a4abce763

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.01
Realized PnL: $0.42
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $118k November 3-9?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $3.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Seahawks position

Cardinals vs. Seahawks

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Aster all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Pirates

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Telstar 1963 vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Reds position

Braves vs. Reds

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Kennesaw State position

Kennesaw State vs. Florida International

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Cubs position

Orioles vs. Cubs

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will FC Juárez vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Solana Up or Down on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Tigers position

Tigers vs. Phillies

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Up position

XRP Up or Down on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cardinals vs. Seahawks

Seahawks 99.9% 1.43 shares
Will FC Juárez vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?

No 78% 1.44 shares
Aster all time high by December 31?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $118k November 3-9?

No 99.8% 3.01 shares
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?

No 99.7% 4.01 shares
Kennesaw State vs. Florida International

Kennesaw State 58% 3.12 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?

No 0.1% 2,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?

Up 10% 10 shares
Will Telstar 1963 vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?

No 81% 14 shares
Athletics vs. Pirates

Athletics 50% 10 shares
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 636.82 shares
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 25 shares