No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
louj75018
0x480f54a786e6abbc6d8d1efcfd9a52b213767c91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.48
- Realized PnL
- $181.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 175k and 200k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.52
- Potential profit
- $338.52
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $78.48
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $46.92
- Potential payout
- $68.02
- Potential profit
- $21.09
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $52.48
- Potential payout
- $57.35
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.46
- Potential profit
- $48.46
- User PnL
- -$6.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.01
- Potential profit
- $42.01
- User PnL
- -$24.7
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $33.47
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$5.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.75
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $11.64
- Potential payout
- $19.9
- Potential profit
- $8.26
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.22
No position
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.19
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
No position
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Yes position
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.26
No position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.1% 5.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 44.1% 4.54 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 1.45 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes 24.5% 5 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes 65% 1.54 shares
- Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 55.8% 1.79 shares