Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $20.44
- Potential profit
- $18.39
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Polymarket Trader
0x4819...273f
0x48196e4868638d6ad3c6e5ad175ea60570fb273f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.18
- Realized PnL
- $195.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $5.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.14
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?Yes 91.2% 11.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?No 84% 1.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?No 81% 1.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?No 80% 1.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?No 81% 1.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?Yes 4.9% 20.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?No 88% 1.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?Yes 10% 11.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?No 92.4% 3.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?Yes 1.2% 2.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?No 32% 3.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp 97% 1.23 shares