No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.81K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $471.27
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$31.42
Polymarket Trader
SPMontreal
0x48265c557af172e7ba876fc2fd949904a94ad5c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.85K
- Realized PnL
- $6.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.84K
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $73.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $594.43
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $21.12
- User PnL
- $942.69
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $3.59K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $111
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $202.91
No position
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $32.01
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $19.32
- User PnL
- $309.05
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $199.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$12.1
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $705.64
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$95.67
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $112.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.64
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- User PnL
- $84.75
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $15.54
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $34.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $58.38
No position
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $809.34
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $30.66
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $55.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Trump nominate RFK for FDA Commissioner?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.22
No position
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.16
No position
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.29
Yes position
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.64
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.96
No position
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.75
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.75
No position
Canada federal election in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.65
Yes position
Election certified on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.15
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.89
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.79
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.34
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.86
No position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.86
No position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.03
No position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.75
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.23
No position
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.09
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.31
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.23
No position
Iran strike on US military before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 98.1% 1,900 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 91.7% 2,258.18 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 83% 2,520 shares
- Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 98.9% 2,870 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 3,048.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 3,234.88 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No 0.2% 2,900 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No 97% 1,310 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 97.9% 1,480 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes 98.7% 2,880 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 1,880 shares
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 84.6% 1,800 shares