No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $17.85
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Polymarket Trader
0x482c...97a6
0x482cf22c36b7abf516a102dc8d06bc0992f197a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $120.46
- Realized PnL
- $91.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $13.22
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.29
- Potential payout
- $12.08
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $11.93
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $11.44
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $11.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $9.37
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $2.95
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.6% 11.31 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 30% 7 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes 70% 11.16 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 76% 6.08 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 7.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 28% 6.61 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 51% 9.94 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 27% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.4% 6.72 shares