Polymarket Trader

0x4837F8f98b01210b63bAD4825e3A9137841F3E5F-1783146086411

0x4837f8f98b01210b63bad4825e3a9137841f3e5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.49
Realized PnL: $193
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $211.54
Potential profit: $206.17
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.58
Potential profit: $149.58
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $49.43
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $64.2
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $72.93
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $24.2
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $15.94
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.11
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $8.22
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.39
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $7.57
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 5.24x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Down 47% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Up 99% 26.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Up 93% 26.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 99% 39.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 62.8% 39.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 61% 40.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 99% 28.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 88.5% 28.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 99% 30.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 82% 30.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 95% 26.32 shares