No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x483aA3daA586A0EaE14A6168b160c7CE01D88e08-1778807632997
0x483aa3daa586a0eae14a6168b160c7ce01d88e08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.51
- Realized PnL
- -$2.5
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $44.54
- Potential profit
- $38.95
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
New Zealand position
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp 97% 1.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp 67% 1.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 1.35 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 10% 5.31 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 94% 5.32 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)New Zealand 93% 6.17 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)New Zealand 81% 6.17 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)New Zealand 74% 1.35 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)New Zealand 74% 1.35 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 64% 7.81 shares